Commercial property values are in free-fall. Real estate's lost decade endures.
There's another bomb hidden in the real estate market, but unlike subprime mortgages, this one will take a decade to explode. Commercial properties--offices, hotels, malls--could suffer a wave of foreclosures like the one that hit the residential market last year, says Deutsche Bank analyst Richard Parkus. As tenants struggle to make rent, delinquencies are up, bringing down rents and values and hurting the already struggling secondhand market for mortgages that cover these properties.
Since many banks, insurers and investment funds hold those mortgage-backed bonds, they could be looking at steep losses in the next few years. This could signal new and unexpected writedowns for banks with commercial mortgage backers, including large players like Bank of America ( BAC - news - people ) and Citigroup ( C - news - people ) as well as regional banks like Regions Financial ( RF - news - people ), SunTrust Banks ( STI - news - people )and Fifth Third Bancorp ( FITB - news - people ).
